Calculated Risk

  • Weekend: • Schedule for Week of June 22, 2025 Monday: • At 10:00 AM ET, Existing Home Sales for May from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The consensus is […]
  • This is something to watch again. Here is another monthly update on lumber prices.SPECIAL NOTE: The CME group discontinued the Random Length Lumber Futures contract on May 16, 2023.  I […]
  • At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: Click on graph for larger image. • Housing Starts Decreased to 1.256 million Annual Rate in May • California Home Sales […]
  • The key reports this week are May New and Existing Home sales, the third estimate of Q1 GDP, Personal Income and Outlays for May and the April Case-Shiller house price […]
  • Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. This will be the last weekly COVID update for now, although I'll start posting again if COVID increases […]
  • There will be some trade related distortions in Q2. From BofA: Overall, 2Q GDP tracking is down from 2.7% q/q saar to 2.6%. [June 17th estimate]emphasis addedFrom Goldman: We lowered […]
  • Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: California Home Sales "Sputter" in May; 4th Look at Local Markets A brief excerpt: From the California Association of Realtors® (C.A.R.): California […]
  • Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday: • At 8:30 AM ET, the Philly Fed manufacturing survey for June. The consensus is for a […]
  • Here are the daily travel numbers from the TSA. This data is as of June 17, 2025. Click on graph for larger image. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total […]
  • What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For May, Realtor.com reported […]